BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Morgan St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 114 Conference: Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference Record: (2-6) Overall: (3-9) Overall Strength =  106.32

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/29/2019 Away    L    84.37   3  46   1A 128 (  3-  9) Bowling Green         -23.97    -19.03                      
  2 09/14/2019 Away    L   111.58  12  63   1B   2 ( 14-  2) James Madison           3.23 *  -54.23                      
  3 09/21/2019 Away    L   122.46  21  52   1A  88 (  5-  8) Army                   14.11 *  -45.11                      
  4 09/28/2019 Home    L *  95.98  17  27   1B 111 (  4-  8) North Carolina Centr  -12.37      2.37                      
  5 10/05/2019 Away    L * 108.15  20  31   1B  86 (  7-  4) Bethune-Cookman        -0.20    -10.80                      
  6 10/12/2019 Home    W * 131.24  34   3   1B 119 (  2- 10) Delaware St            22.89      8.11                      
  7 10/19/2019 Away    L * 115.87  10  24   1B  59 (  8-  3) South Carolina St       7.52    -21.52                      
  8 10/26/2019 Home    L * 110.92  12  24   1B  61 (  9-  2) Florida A&M             2.58    -14.58                      
  9 11/02/2019 Away    L *  75.73   0  48   1B  75 (  5-  7) Norfolk St            -32.61    -15.39                      
 10 11/09/2019 Home    W * 142.25  22  16   1B  40 (  9-  3) North Carolina A&T     33.90    -27.90                      
 11 11/16/2019 Home    W   109.20  59  26   OT   1 (  0-  9) Virginia U-Lynchburg    0.86 *   32.14                      
 12 11/23/2019 Away    L *  92.42  15  20   1B 122 (  2- 10) Howard                -15.93     10.93                      
      Averages             108.35  18.8 31.7

Best game:  142.25 = 6 point win over North Carolina A&T
Worst game:  75.73 = 48 point loss to Norfolk St
Team stdev:  19.05